February 28,
2015
2015 Season Preview
The
2014 Thunder Bay season ended with the Colorado Gladiators winning their
first league championship 4 games to 1 over the Mad City Paddlers ending the run
of the San Antonio Saints along the way. Manager and GM "Trader" Casey
took down 4 teams with a combined record of 415-233 en route to his
first
title since entering the TBBL back in 2006 as an expansion team. Casey
hasn't spent much time sipping the bubbly as he has already completed 7 trades
this off season trying to reshape his club for 2015. A source close to the team
reported prized prospect Tyler Kolek was removed from the float during the
team's victory parade and informed he was dealt for Hiroki Kuroda who, a few
short weeks later was dealt as well. Seems like no one's roster spot is
safe in Colorado. In all seriousness, congratulations Casey on a great
season!
After a year in which we had
some owner turnover, I am happy to say that all 24 owners are coming back for
the 2015 season and by the looks of the draft everyone has done some homework.
There were more aaa players drafted this year than in any of the previous 11
seasons with kids from the 5th grade being thought of in the latter rounds.
Vladimir Guerrero, who played for the Confederates, Angels/Halos, Devils and the
Crawdads/Saints franchises was a proud pappa when his son was drafted in the 4th
round by Toronto. His son, Vladimir Jr. just turned 15 years old!!!
By the way, Vladdy Sr. compiled a .314/.361/.556 slash line in his 9 year career
and smashed out 276 homers and drove in 929 runs. Anyone want to trade for
his boy?
There has also been an
invasion of sorts in the TBBL over the past few seasons. Yasmani
Thomas was the first pick in the 2015 draft by the Capitals marking the
first time a Cuban born player who has never played in North
America was selected first overall. Recent
top picks have included Danny Salazar (2014), Carlos Correa (2013) and
Trevor Bauer (2012). Speaking of top picks, does anyone recall who was the
first player ever drafted in the TBBL? His Career line is
listed below:
Career |
AVG |
OBP |
SLG |
G |
AB |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
R |
RBI |
BB |
K |
SB |
Titles |
Totals |
.311 |
.384 |
.576 |
1702 |
6419 |
1997 |
446 |
20 |
404 |
1085 |
1338 |
753 |
752 |
53 |
0 |
Average |
- |
- |
- |
155 |
584 |
182 |
41 |
2 |
37 |
98 |
122 |
68 |
68 |
5 |
0 |
Guy has been pretty good hasn't he?
The first ever Minor Leaguer drafted was Joe Mauer who hasn't been too shabby
either! The player referenced in the table above is none other than Albert
Pujols.
2014 Predcitions |
Team |
3 Yr W-L |
2014 Finish |
My Prediction |
Team |
3 Yr W-L |
2014 Finish |
My Prediction |
x-Crown Royals |
247-239 |
1 |
2 |
x-Saints |
345-141 |
1 |
1 |
x-Damage |
254-232 |
2 |
1 |
x-Gladiators |
266-220 |
2 |
2 |
x-Oil Barons |
236-250 |
3 |
3 |
Smackdown |
264-223 |
3 |
3 |
x-Halos |
321-166 |
4 |
4 |
Rats |
244-242 |
4 |
5 |
Isotopes |
227-259 |
5 |
4 |
Night Hawks |
276-210 |
5 |
4 |
Capitals |
193-293 |
6 |
6 |
CityHawks |
193-293 |
6 |
6 |
Team |
3 Yr W-L |
2014 Finish |
My Prediction |
Team |
3 Yr W-L |
2014 Finish |
My Prediction |
x-Flyers |
254-232 |
1 |
3 |
x-Nuts |
313-173 |
1 |
2 |
x-Eagles |
278-208 |
2 |
1 |
x-Bitteroots |
310-176 |
2 |
3 |
Confederates |
225-261 |
3 |
2 |
x-Paddlers |
229-257 |
3 |
1 |
Mammoths |
209-277 |
4 |
5 |
x-Ravens |
229-257 |
4 |
4 |
Panthers |
196-290 |
5 |
6 |
Komets |
169-317 |
5 |
5 |
Sandlappers |
242-244 |
6 |
4 |
Bombers |
131-355 |
6 |
6 |
x- Indicates Playoff Team |
My predictions last year were
a bit sketchy considering I only had one Division Winner correctly
predicted. The Saints were an easy choice to win the AL West (Pittner)
last year and had the best overall record in the league. They have
won 345 games in the past 3 years which is insane. In the AL East,
I boldly predicted my team would win our first division title but that
was not the case as Toronto took home the crown with 115 wins. In
the National League, my picks were the Eagles and Paddlers but neither
won their respective division but each made it to the NLCS. The
Flyers won the East while the Nuts won the West but were both upended in
the Division Round of the playoffs.
The Most Valuable Players from
2014 were David Ortiz (.320-49-117) of Jersey and Miguel Cabrera (.361-55-145) of
the Nuts. Our Cy Young Winners were Clayton Kershaw (21-2, 1.93 ERA) of
the Nuts and Adam Wainwright (20-3, 2.50 ERA) of Jersey. This marked the
first time ever that the same teams had both the MVP and Cy Young winners
despite neither playing in the World Series. Tim Lincecum of Hayward and Yu
Darvish of Toronto threw no hitters last year and Torii Hunter of Smith Mills
was the only player who hit for the cycle.
The
TBBL witnessed an All Time High (the opposite of the previous season) in Trades
in 2014. The table below shows Trades and Transactions by Year
since the inception of the league. The 2015 season, which hasn't
event started yet already has seen more trades than the entire 2013 season!
Year |
Trades |
Transactions |
2004 |
15 |
76 |
2005 |
18 |
67 |
2006 |
43 |
66 |
2007 |
53 |
62 |
2008 |
48 |
54 |
2009 |
39 |
44 |
2010 |
49 |
57 |
2011 |
53 |
72 |
2012 |
46 |
89 |
2013 |
25 |
83 |
2014 |
57 |
87 |
2015 |
27 |
21 |
The interesting tidbit regarding trades
made this year is that only 5 of the 27 trades reported to date were for
established major league players. The 22 other deals either had a draft
pick or a aaa player involved showing the pattern of owners building for the
future.
In a future article in 2015, we will look
at some of the most lopsided trades in TBBL history. Are there any trades that
really stick out that you as an owner would love to have a do over? Mine
was clearly made in 2007 when I traded my Rd 1 and Rd 2 picks along with Matt
Kemp and Delin Betances to Osama (Nuts) for John Lackey and "easy" Eddie Guardado.
One of those draft picks turned out to be none other than Clayton Kershaw.
Yup, that was a pretty good time to be a fan of the Damage. At least
Lackey helped me get to the World Series that year but ironically enough was the
losing pitcher in the clincher for Chemung. He allowed 19 hits in 12
innings that series so in hindsight he was my worst acquisition to date.
Who was yours?
For this year's preview, I decided to expand my Player Rater to include several
sources of data. The ESPN data is derived from their Player Ratings for
each player based on the previous four seasons (2011-2014) combined. The Elias data
is based off the same four seasons as well. The Fantasy aspect is new to
the rankings as I looked at the upcoming 2015 Cheat Sheets using RotoChamp and
FanGraphs Top 300 lists. The table below summarizes the
Top 300 players:
Rank |
Player |
Team |
ESPN |
Elias |
Fantasy |
Rank |
Player |
Team |
ESPN |
Elias |
Fantasy |
1 |
Clayton Kershaw |
PYN |
1 |
2 |
3 |
151 |
Billy Butler |
GOT |
51 |
76 |
N/R |
2 |
Mike Trout |
PAD |
2 |
5 |
1 |
152 |
Justin Morneau |
PAD |
281 |
170 |
178 |
3 |
Andrew McCutchen |
BEA |
6 |
3 |
2 |
153 |
Josh Hamilton |
SMC |
75 |
55 |
N/R |
4 |
Miguel Cabrera |
PYN |
3 |
1 |
7 |
154 |
Grant Balfour |
F/A |
85 |
48 |
N/R |
5 |
Felix Hernandez |
HOU |
7 |
6 |
9 |
155 |
Howie Kendrick |
SMC |
169 |
345 |
124 |
6 |
Robinson Cano |
JER |
4 |
12 |
16 |
156 |
Dexter Fowler |
ISO |
93 |
67 |
N/R |
7 |
Giancarlo Stanton |
SAS |
29 |
8 |
5 |
157 |
Alex Rios |
PYN |
127 |
317 |
220 |
8 |
Chris Sale |
TCR |
35 |
4 |
17 |
158 |
Carlos Carrasco |
NEW |
333 |
246 |
86 |
9 |
Justin Upton |
HOU |
18 |
28 |
15 |
159 |
Jim Johnson |
F/A |
80 |
86 |
N/R |
10 |
Freddie Freeman |
NEW |
24 |
18 |
20 |
160 |
Denard Span |
FWK |
245 |
228 |
195 |
11 |
Madison Bumgarner |
PAD |
9 |
34 |
21 |
161 |
Josh Harrison |
TCR |
310 |
252 |
109 |
12 |
Adam Jones |
FLY |
23 |
31 |
11 |
162 |
Sean Doolittle |
BEA |
297 |
153 |
225 |
13 |
Hunter Pence |
JER |
13 |
14 |
39 |
163 |
Martin Prado |
SMC |
156 |
260 |
263 |
14 |
Craig Kimbrel |
NEW |
5 |
9 |
56 |
164 |
Brandon Phillips |
BEA |
77 |
103 |
N/R |
15 |
Adrian Gonzalez |
SAS |
10 |
7 |
53 |
165 |
Joe Nathan |
F/A |
72 |
108 |
N/R |
16 |
Zack Greinke |
TCR |
11 |
23 |
41 |
166 |
Andre Ethier |
COL |
152 |
35 |
N/R |
17 |
Jose Bautista |
SAS |
44 |
13 |
19 |
167 |
CC Sabathia |
SMC |
63 |
126 |
N/R |
18 |
David Price |
SAS |
15 |
40 |
23 |
168 |
Sonny Gray |
SMM |
228 |
402 |
62 |
19 |
Cole Hamels |
PYN |
16 |
15 |
49 |
169 |
Mariano Rivera |
F/A |
100 |
93 |
N/R |
20 |
Adrian Beltre |
BEA |
8 |
32 |
47 |
170 |
J.D. Martinez |
FWK |
293 |
312 |
90 |
21 |
Edwin Encarnacion |
NEW |
40 |
43 |
14 |
171 |
Darren O'Day |
COL |
106 |
92 |
N/R |
22 |
Max Scherzer |
PAD |
20 |
47 |
32 |
172 |
Francisco Liriano |
SMC |
238 |
263 |
199 |
23 |
Buster Posey |
SAS |
45 |
33 |
22 |
173 |
Casey Janssen |
TCR |
160 |
46 |
N/R |
24 |
Matt Holliday |
LTR |
12 |
5 |
83 |
174 |
C.J. Wilson |
SMC |
56 |
160 |
N/R |
25 |
Aroldis Chapman |
JER |
27 |
22 |
52 |
175 |
Collin McHugh |
SMC |
263 |
307 |
149 |
26 |
Johnny Cueto |
BEA |
34 |
24 |
43 |
176 |
Matt Harrison |
F/A |
110 |
110 |
N/R |
27 |
Paul Goldschmidt |
CCC |
61 |
36 |
4 |
177 |
Alex Wood |
SAN |
321 |
319 |
81 |
28 |
James Shields |
NEW |
9 |
11 |
102 |
178 |
Masahiro Tanaka |
GOT |
265 |
323 |
134 |
29 |
Albert Pujols |
GOT |
39 |
16 |
70 |
179 |
Phil Hughes |
HOU |
174 |
375 |
175 |
30 |
Jordan Zimmermann |
JER |
17 |
74 |
36 |
180 |
Alfonso Soriano |
F/A |
143 |
83 |
N/R |
31 |
Ryan Braun |
NEW |
50 |
38 |
40 |
181 |
Elvis Andrus |
BEA |
82 |
N/R |
146 |
32 |
Jacoby Ellsbury |
PYN |
58 |
39 |
37 |
182 |
Josh Willingham |
SMM |
134 |
97 |
N/R |
33 |
Carlos Santana |
FWK |
33 |
45 |
57 |
183 |
Tony Watson |
PAN |
136 |
98 |
N/R |
34 |
Greg Holland |
NEW |
37 |
27 |
76 |
184 |
Starlin Castro |
TCR |
104 |
N/R |
131 |
35 |
Jose Reyes |
SAS |
43 |
54 |
60 |
185 |
Pedro Alvarez |
TCR |
185 |
408 |
147 |
36 |
David Ortiz |
JER |
42 |
17 |
101 |
186 |
Joel Hanrahan |
F/A |
119 |
122 |
N/R |
37 |
Prince Fielder |
BEA |
31 |
26 |
103 |
187 |
Mike Napoli |
RRR |
76 |
166 |
N/R |
38 |
Evan Longoria |
PAD |
54 |
60 |
50 |
188 |
Matt Adams |
FWK |
426 |
205 |
114 |
39 |
Stephen Strasburg |
PHS |
47 |
102 |
18 |
189 |
Shane Victorino |
COL |
116 |
133 |
N/R |
40 |
Adam Wainwright |
JER |
46 |
82 |
46 |
190 |
Cody Allen |
HAY |
394 |
238 |
122 |
41 |
Yu Darvish |
TCR |
70 |
50 |
59 |
191 |
Allen Craig |
RRR |
150 |
106 |
N/R |
42 |
Jon Lester |
LTR |
53 |
75 |
55 |
192 |
Jeremy Hellickson |
HAY |
115 |
141 |
N/R |
43 |
Joey Votto |
FLY |
38 |
21 |
126 |
193 |
Michael Cuddyer |
HOU |
237 |
291 |
233 |
44 |
Matt Kemp |
PYN |
62 |
56 |
67 |
194 |
Ryan Vogelsong |
FWK |
135 |
128 |
N/R |
45 |
Ian Kinsler |
NEW |
21 |
104 |
63 |
195 |
Bartolo Colon |
BEA |
81 |
188 |
N/R |
46 |
Josh Donaldson |
TCR |
88 |
77 |
31 |
196 |
Sergio Romo |
PHS |
92 |
177 |
N/R |
47 |
Alex Gordon |
CCC |
19 |
101 |
80 |
197 |
Jhonny Peralta |
PAN |
112 |
158 |
N/R |
48 |
Yoenis Cespedes |
JER |
107 |
49 |
54 |
198 |
Justin Masterson |
PHS |
122 |
148 |
N/R |
49 |
Troy Tulowitzki |
NEW |
102 |
89 |
29 |
199 |
Jon Jay |
PHS |
133 |
381 |
258 |
50 |
Carlos Gonzalez |
HAY |
66 |
107 |
51 |
200 |
Yovani Gallardo |
NEW |
140 |
135 |
N/R |
51 |
Doug Fister |
HOU |
22 |
59 |
150 |
201 |
Kris Medlen |
FWK |
132 |
144 |
N/R |
52 |
Kyle Seager |
HOU |
108 |
65 |
61 |
202 |
Mark Buehrle |
RRR |
192 |
87 |
N/R |
53 |
David Robertson |
SAS |
94 |
30 |
111 |
203 |
Andrew Cashner |
LAH |
165 |
471 |
144 |
54 |
Carlos Gomez |
HOU |
137 |
91 |
8 |
204 |
Jacob deGrom |
BOM |
282 |
406 |
95 |
55 |
Dustin Pedroia |
PYN |
55 |
61 |
120 |
205 |
Paul Konerko |
F/A |
128 |
163 |
N/R |
56 |
Victor Martinez |
JER |
41 |
81 |
121 |
206 |
Dee Gordon |
GOT |
306 |
399 |
87 |
57 |
Cliff Lee |
BEA |
32 |
25 |
188 |
207 |
Devin Mesoraco |
BEA |
330 |
385 |
77 |
58 |
Gio Gonzalez |
JER |
60 |
78 |
110 |
208 |
Miguel Montero |
COL |
179 |
114 |
N/R |
59 |
Jered Weaver |
LTR |
25 |
10 |
221 |
209 |
Nick Swisher |
PHS |
79 |
215 |
N/R |
60 |
Ian Desmond |
JER |
89 |
136 |
33 |
210 |
Nick Markakis |
PYN |
69 |
226 |
N/R |
61 |
Yadier Molina |
RRR |
83 |
37 |
142 |
211 |
R.A. Dickey |
PHS |
48 |
247 |
N/R |
62 |
Kenley Jansen |
PAD |
30 |
69 |
166 |
212 |
Chris Tillman |
JER |
164 |
134 |
N/R |
63 |
Jonathan Papelbon |
SAS |
64 |
19 |
186 |
213 |
Eric O'Flaherty |
F/A |
198 |
100 |
N/R |
64 |
Matt Carpenter |
SMM |
91 |
84 |
100 |
214 |
Yordano Ventura |
PYN |
331 |
335 |
137 |
65 |
Ben Zobrist |
COL |
28 |
73 |
182 |
215 |
Alex Avila |
PAN |
196 |
111 |
N/R |
66 |
David Wright |
SAS |
121 |
29 |
133 |
216 |
Tom Wilhelmsen |
BEA |
176 |
138 |
N/R |
67 |
Hisashi Iwakuma |
COL |
74 |
105 |
105 |
217 |
Vinnie Pestano |
F/A |
220 |
96 |
N/R |
68 |
Melky Cabrera |
HOU |
65 |
66 |
155 |
218 |
Ernesto Frieri |
F/A |
193 |
125 |
N/R |
69 |
Chris Davis |
COL |
148 |
85 |
58 |
219 |
Michael Morse |
HAY |
248 |
70 |
N/R |
70 |
Hanley Ramirez |
CCC |
191 |
80 |
30 |
220 |
Michael Bourn |
PHS |
146 |
174 |
N/R |
71 |
Jay Bruce |
BEA |
49 |
168 |
85 |
221 |
Kelvin Herrera |
HOU |
209 |
115 |
N/R |
72 |
Yasiel Puig |
COL |
123 |
172 |
12 |
222 |
Brian McCann |
SMC |
410 |
264 |
152 |
73 |
Mark Melancon |
JER |
130 |
62 |
119 |
223 |
Erick Aybar |
RRR |
230 |
407 |
192 |
74 |
Jason Heyward |
LAH |
173 |
71 |
73 |
224 |
Alexei Ramirez |
PHS |
183 |
N/R |
148 |
75 |
Anthony Rizzo |
CCC |
147 |
143 |
28 |
225 |
Angel Pagan |
LTR |
199 |
139 |
N/R |
76 |
Koji Uehara |
JER |
71 |
53 |
194 |
226 |
Matt Shoemaker |
PHS |
272 |
387 |
190 |
77 |
Justin Verlander |
PYN |
14 |
72 |
235 |
227 |
Brandon McCarthy |
FLY |
184 |
433 |
234 |
78 |
Jayson Werth |
TCR |
68 |
90 |
171 |
228 |
Rick Porcello |
JER |
226 |
424 |
201 |
79 |
Michael Brantley |
PAN |
204 |
120 |
13 |
229 |
Matt Moore |
NEW |
241 |
343 |
273 |
80 |
Huston Street |
HAY |
97 |
68 |
173 |
230 |
Asdrubal Cabrera |
FWK |
195 |
167 |
N/R |
81 |
Adam LaRoche |
LAH |
120 |
64 |
163 |
231 |
Danny Duffy |
PAN |
249 |
347 |
267 |
82 |
Jonathan Lucroy |
PAD |
171 |
112 |
64 |
232 |
Dan Uggla |
F/A |
162 |
203 |
N/R |
83 |
Mark Trumbo |
PHS |
95 |
137 |
116 |
233 |
J.J. Putz |
F/A |
124 |
241 |
N/R |
84 |
Anibal Sanchez |
NEW |
141 |
99 |
117 |
234 |
Manny Machado |
HOU |
277 |
N/R |
92 |
85 |
Mat Latos |
GOT |
101 |
116 |
141 |
235 |
Tanner Roark |
LTR |
166 |
207 |
N/R |
86 |
Alex Cobb |
PAN |
129 |
159 |
79 |
236 |
Charlie Blackmon |
PAN |
301 |
N/R |
74 |
87 |
Starling Marte |
COL |
202 |
142 |
25 |
237 |
Kole Calhoun |
ISO |
384 |
403 |
89 |
88 |
Julio Teheran |
SMC |
126 |
180 |
66 |
238 |
Coco Crisp |
JER |
320 |
57 |
N/R |
89 |
Corey Kluber |
LAH |
203 |
147 |
27 |
239 |
Marcell Ozuna |
BOM |
327 |
485 |
65 |
90 |
Jason Kipnis |
FLY |
154 |
127 |
99 |
240 |
Desmond Jennings |
SMM |
431 |
204 |
243 |
91 |
Tyler Clippard |
COL |
52 |
79 |
249 |
241 |
Russell Martin |
TCR |
300 |
369 |
211 |
92 |
Daniel Murphy |
PHS |
90 |
194 |
106 |
242 |
Ryan Howard |
FLY |
153 |
227 |
N/R |
93 |
Bryce Harper |
BEA |
227 |
131 |
38 |
243 |
Jose Valverde |
F/A |
145 |
236 |
N/R |
94 |
Lance Lynn |
SMM |
73 |
201 |
130 |
244 |
Rafael Soriano |
LTR |
142 |
244 |
N/R |
95 |
Curtis Granderson |
LAH |
67 |
63 |
276 |
245 |
Jason Motte |
F/A |
149 |
239 |
N/R |
96 |
Jeff Samardzija |
PYN |
157 |
185 |
69 |
246 |
Adam Eaton |
PAD |
372 |
332 |
187 |
97 |
Nelson Cruz |
JER |
78 |
261 |
78 |
247 |
Mark Teixeira |
LAH |
235 |
156 |
N/R |
98 |
Aramis Ramirez |
PHS |
96 |
44 |
279 |
248 |
Mike Adams |
F/A |
243 |
150 |
N/R |
99 |
Fernando Rodney |
LTR |
98 |
118 |
203 |
249 |
Josh Beckett |
PHS |
158 |
240 |
N/R |
100 |
Joaquin Benoit |
SAS |
168 |
52 |
200 |
250 |
Jean Segura |
HOU |
365 |
358 |
177 |
101 |
Torii Hunter |
SMM |
36 |
178 |
208 |
251 |
John Axford |
GOT |
178 |
223 |
N/R |
102 |
Glen Perkins |
TCR |
99 |
146 |
183 |
252 |
Shelby Miller |
LAH |
246 |
437 |
224 |
103 |
Jose Abreu |
SMC |
206 |
221 |
6 |
253 |
J.P. Howell |
TCR |
208 |
200 |
N/R |
104 |
Pablo Sandoval |
FWK |
205 |
94 |
135 |
254 |
Roy Halladay |
F/A |
201 |
209 |
N/R |
105 |
Shin-Soo Choo |
RRR |
109 |
95 |
232 |
255 |
Josh Collmenter |
SMM |
N/R |
173 |
239 |
106 |
Steve Cishek |
SMC |
163 |
121 |
157 |
256 |
Mike Leake |
BEA |
326 |
334 |
256 |
107 |
Jake McGee |
PAD |
138 |
157 |
151 |
257 |
Brad Boxberger |
GOT |
303 |
342 |
275 |
108 |
Brandon Belt |
JER |
221 |
119 |
107 |
258 |
Drew Smyly |
SMC |
360 |
442 |
118 |
109 |
Hyun-Jin Ryu |
BOM |
144 |
184 |
125 |
259 |
Alexi Ogando |
F/A |
337 |
88 |
N/R |
110 |
Joe Mauer |
HOU |
113 |
113 |
227 |
260 |
Nolan Arenado |
GOT |
N/R |
341 |
84 |
111 |
Brett Gardner |
LAH |
161 |
192 |
108 |
261 |
Dan Haren |
SAS |
211 |
219 |
N/R |
112 |
Matt Cain |
RRR |
86 |
109 |
274 |
262 |
Lance Berkman |
F/A |
217 |
218 |
N/R |
113 |
Jose Altuve |
PAD |
210 |
254 |
10 |
263 |
Joe Smith |
LTR |
194 |
242 |
N/R |
114 |
Neil Walker |
SAS |
189 |
123 |
164 |
264 |
Corey Hart |
F/A |
172 |
265 |
N/R |
115 |
Ian Kennedy |
BEA |
87 |
213 |
184 |
265 |
Jake Peavy |
LAH |
181 |
258 |
N/R |
116 |
Eric Hosmer |
NEW |
233 |
132 |
123 |
266 |
Jarrod Parker |
JER |
257 |
189 |
N/R |
117 |
Kyle Lohse |
SAS |
111 |
149 |
228 |
267 |
Gerrit Cole |
ISO |
429 |
449 |
72 |
118 |
Ryan Zimmerman |
PYN |
118 |
152 |
222 |
268 |
Ricky Romero |
F/A |
213 |
237 |
N/R |
119 |
Jimmy Rollins |
LTR |
105 |
154 |
240 |
269 |
Evan Gattis |
SMC |
N/R |
337 |
115 |
120 |
Brian Dozier |
PAN |
240 |
193 |
68 |
270 |
Michael Young |
F/A |
215 |
243 |
N/R |
121 |
Jake Arrieta |
SMM |
223 |
234 |
45 |
271 |
Dallas Keuchel |
LTR |
250 |
N/R |
209 |
122 |
Ervin Santana |
COL |
125 |
162 |
217 |
272 |
James Loney |
PAN |
234 |
225 |
N/R |
123 |
Matt Harvey |
PYN |
216 |
245 |
44 |
273 |
Steve Pearce |
SMM |
N/R |
293 |
176 |
124 |
Todd Frazier |
JER |
262 |
195 |
48 |
274 |
Alcides Escobar |
GOT |
255 |
N/R |
215 |
125 |
Chase Headley |
FLY |
103 |
155 |
251 |
275 |
Tim Lincecum |
HAY |
224 |
250 |
N/R |
126 |
Homer Bailey |
HAY |
219 |
140 |
162 |
276 |
Edward Mujica |
COL |
295 |
191 |
N/R |
127 |
Marlon Byrd |
PHS |
167 |
187 |
180 |
277 |
Chase Utley |
NEW |
314 |
181 |
N/R |
128 |
Dellin Betances |
PAN |
231 |
210 |
94 |
278 |
Jonny Venters |
F/A |
283 |
216 |
N/R |
129 |
Jose Quintana |
PAD |
200 |
198 |
139 |
279 |
Chris Perez |
F/A |
180 |
322 |
N/R |
130 |
Tim Hudson |
PYN |
117 |
171 |
250 |
280 |
Henderson Alvarez |
BOM |
239 |
272 |
N/R |
131 |
Garrett Richards |
FWK |
207 |
257 |
82 |
281 |
Ken Giles |
JER |
N/R |
294 |
218 |
132 |
Anthony Rendon |
CCC |
214 |
318 |
24 |
282 |
Ivan Nova |
NEW |
188 |
326 |
N/R |
133 |
Austin Jackson |
BOM |
84 |
270 |
207 |
283 |
Jhoulys Chacin |
FWK |
335 |
179 |
N/R |
134 |
Drew Storen |
LAH |
175 |
124 |
264 |
284 |
Adam Dunn |
TCR |
159 |
357 |
N/R |
135 |
Santiago Casilla |
RRR |
190 |
129 |
253 |
285 |
Lorenzo Cain |
PAN |
379 |
N/R |
138 |
136 |
A.J. Burnett |
HOU |
114 |
233 |
231 |
286 |
Jason Vargas |
SMM |
328 |
190 |
N/R |
137 |
Brandon Moss |
HAY |
187 |
256 |
140 |
287 |
Luke Gregerson |
TCR |
N/R |
310 |
212 |
138 |
Christian Yelich |
TCR |
264 |
277 |
42 |
288 |
Salvador Perez |
JER |
432 |
481 |
113 |
139 |
Lucas Duda |
SAS |
269 |
161 |
154 |
289 |
Carlos Ruiz |
SMM |
186 |
344 |
N/R |
140 |
Jose Fernandez |
TCR |
212 |
230 |
143 |
290 |
Brandon Morrow |
ISO |
252 |
279 |
N/R |
141 |
Wade Davis |
HOU |
155 |
165 |
271 |
291 |
Billy Hamilton |
NEW |
N/R |
N/R |
34 |
142 |
Chris Carter |
BEA |
197 |
299 |
96 |
292 |
George Springer |
HOU |
N/R |
N/R |
35 |
143 |
Hiroki Kuroda |
PAN |
57 |
41 |
N/R |
293 |
Mike Minor |
TCR |
266 |
N/R |
270 |
144 |
Chris Archer |
CCC |
244 |
229 |
127 |
294 |
B.J. Upton |
BOM |
182 |
355 |
N/R |
145 |
Corey Dickerson |
FLY |
284 |
303 |
26 |
295 |
Ben Revere |
RRR |
370 |
N/R |
167 |
146 |
Francisco Rodriguez |
BEA |
267 |
117 |
229 |
296 |
Jason Grilli |
SAN |
363 |
175 |
N/R |
147 |
Carlos Beltran |
TCR |
59 |
58 |
N/R |
297 |
Travis Wood |
SAN |
253 |
288 |
N/R |
148 |
Derek Holland |
FLY |
177 |
197 |
246 |
298 |
Joel Peralta |
LTR |
170 |
374 |
N/R |
149 |
Trevor Rosenthal |
FWK |
316 |
212 |
97 |
299 |
Ryan Madson |
F/A |
289 |
255 |
N/R |
150 |
Tyson Ross |
LAH |
251 |
276 |
98 |
300 |
Scott Downs |
F/A |
315 |
231 |
N/R |
Clayton Kershaw of the Nuts is
the best player in baseball according to the algorithm. Mike Trout was the
#1 Fantasy player for this season but was N/R in the Elias 2011 rankings which
caused him to slip out of the top spot. The Jersey Damage have
a total of 13 players in the Top 100 which is the most of any team while the
Saints Franchise has 10 players, four of which are in the Top 20. The
Carolina Sandlappers bring up the rear with just 3 players in the Top 300 (sorry
Don).
The WAR stats continues to be
one of my favorite
measures and it has helped me shape my predictions the past few seasons.
There are a lot of bloated salaries in MLB and that translates into the TBBL as
well. I utilize an Access
database with stats from www.fangraphs.com
and match it up to the TBBL rosters and below is this year's WAR and Salary
Ranks:
TBBL Club |
Batter War |
Pitcher War |
Total WAR |
WAR Rank |
Team Salary |
Salary Rank |
Jersey Damage Inc. |
40.4 |
31.4 |
71.8 |
1 |
$183,850,000.00 |
3 |
San Antonio Saints |
40.2 |
23.3 |
63.5 |
2 |
$208,183,000.00 |
2 |
Houston Oil Barons |
31.2 |
28.5 |
59.7 |
3 |
$153,596,000.00 |
9 |
Protect Your Nuts |
29.7 |
28.6 |
58.3 |
4 |
$230,034,000.00 |
1 |
West Orange Panthers |
34.3 |
22.8 |
57.1 |
5 |
$83,019,000.00 |
18 |
Mad City Paddlers |
31.7 |
25.4 |
57.1 |
6 |
$81,905,000.00 |
19 |
Toronto Crown Royals |
35.0 |
19.5 |
54.5 |
7 |
$163,514,000.00 |
5 |
Smith Mills Mammoths |
25.6 |
28.9 |
54.5 |
8 |
$84,289,000.00 |
17 |
Newark Eagles |
32.6 |
21.4 |
54.0 |
9 |
$157,289,000.00 |
7 |
Stone Mountain Confederates |
26.6 |
17.5 |
44.1 |
10 |
$146,030,000.00 |
10 |
Lincoln Tunnel Rats |
24.8 |
18.5 |
43.3 |
11 |
$130,515,000.00 |
13 |
Capital City Capitals |
38.1 |
3.2 |
41.3 |
12 |
$62,045,000.00 |
23 |
Beartooth Bitteroots |
24.5 |
16.1 |
40.6 |
13 |
$160,293,000.00 |
6 |
Los Angeles Halos |
17.3 |
22.8 |
40.1 |
14 |
$132,300,000.00 |
12 |
Colorado Gladiators |
25.6 |
13.8 |
39.4 |
15 |
$157,013,000.00 |
8 |
Glenview Flyers |
22.2 |
13.5 |
35.7 |
16 |
$109,445,000.00 |
14 |
Philadelphia Smackdown |
21.1 |
14.1 |
35.2 |
17 |
$140,777,000.00 |
11 |
Fort Wayne Komets |
19.6 |
15.1 |
34.7 |
18 |
$71,950,000.00 |
21 |
Emerald City Bombers |
15.1 |
17.5 |
32.6 |
19 |
$64,259,000.00 |
22 |
Gotham CityHawks |
15.1 |
16.7 |
31.8 |
20 |
$104,455,000.00 |
15 |
Rock River Ravens |
16.7 |
12.4 |
29.1 |
21 |
$173,967,000.00 |
4 |
Carolina Sandlappers |
17.4 |
10.0 |
27.4 |
22 |
$60,315,000.00 |
24 |
Hayward Nighthawks |
16.2 |
8.5 |
24.7 |
23 |
$95,522,000.00 |
16 |
Springfield Isotopes |
12.4 |
9.1 |
21.5 |
24 |
$76,430,000.00 |
20 |
The Protect Your Nuts franchise
once again sits atop the salary list for 2015! The team's payrolls is
$230 MILLION DOLLARS and the Luxury Tax they owe equals to a Clayton Kershaw
trade to the Damage. Thanks Scott, I appreciate it. The three
highest payrolls of all time have been the Nuts in 2015 ($230m), this years
Saints at $208m and last years Nuts at $201m. Will a team go above $250m
next year? The Sandlappers are this years Royals with a $60m team salary.
My predictions for the
2015 season are highlighted in bold in each teams capsule and in many cases I
used owner provided comments in the capsule. Now, the moment everyone has
been waiting for ... my prediction for 2015 Champion will be the Jersey Damage Inc.
I can't seem to get this right so why not select my team here. After all
of my sims I think this is the most balanced team in the league and my window to
win is starting to close. Guys like Victor Martinez and David Ortiz can't
possibly repeat their 2014 MLB seasons and top to bottom I feel the Damage are
solid. Martinez w/OBA was 0.411 last year and he doesn't strike out so
using him in Yankee Stadium should be fun. The pen is extremely deep as
well with closers everywhere. Hopefully for me it's enough to win the
division and have the parade I have always dreamed of. The Saints are
always tough and have a real good chance of winning it all as well. In the
sims, Houston has been up and down and Toronto scares me due to their depth and
ability to trade pieces to sure up a weak spot. You can never count out the
defending champ Colorado either. The American League really can come down to a
wild pitch or a bad hop to crown the winner.
The National League is always
hard for me to forecast. The Paddlers have to go into the season as the
favorite and have some of the best talent in baseball anchoring the staff.
Scherzer and Bumgarner are the best 1-2 punch in the league and Trout is always
dangerous with a bat in his hand. Beartooth will be tough as usual as will
the Nuts and Eagles. A team that I think can surprise some is the
West Orange Panthers. They simmed well and have pretty good pitching
overall so they could be a dark horse for 2015. I pick the Eagles and Nuts
to win their divisions but think the Paddlers come out and defend their National
League title again. Anything can happen which is why the 9,253 words I
just wrote probably won't mean a thing in October.
2015 Simulations Standings |
AL
East |
Record |
Pct |
AL
West |
Record |
Pct |
x-Damage |
111-51 |
.685 |
x-Saints |
101-61 |
.623 |
x-Oil
Barons |
105-57 |
.648 |
x-CityHawks |
83-79 |
.512 |
x-Crown
Royals |
101-61 |
.593 |
x-Smackdown |
78-84 |
.481 |
Halos |
76-86 |
.469 |
Gladiators |
71-91 |
.438 |
Capitals |
76-86 |
.469 |
Rats |
68-94 |
.420 |
Isotopes |
43-119 |
.265 |
Nighthawks |
59-103 |
.364 |
NL
East |
Record |
Pct |
NL
West |
Record |
Pct |
x-Eagles |
101-61 |
.623 |
x-Paddlers |
98-64 |
.605 |
x-Confederates |
89-73 |
.549 |
x-Komets |
87-75 |
.537 |
Panthers |
82-80 |
.506 |
x-Bitteroots |
86-76 |
.531 |
Mammoths |
80-82 |
.494 |
x-Nuts |
85-77 |
.525 |
Flyers |
77-85 |
.475 |
Bombers |
60-102 |
.370 |
Sandlappers |
72-90 |
.444 |
Ravens |
55-107 |
.340 |
x- Indicates Playoff Team |
On February 28, 2015,
the annual season simulation was run. The table to the right shows the
final standings of the sim. There
is a link to your team reports in each grid. The Damage were the
best simulated team and one of 3 teams in the AL East to win 100 games! 5
teams in total won north of 100 games during the sim while the Isotopes won just
43 games. The MVP of the sim
would have been Jose Abreu of Stone Mountain who had a stat line of .328-45-143 with
118 runs scored.
David Ortiz of Jersey led the league in homers with 55C and Adrian Beltre was
the batting champion sporting a .344 average. On the hill, Clayton Kershaw
of Protect was simply the best. He was 22-5 with a 1.81 ERA and had a
league high 324 strike outs. Chris Sale of Toronto was a dazzling 19-7
with 291 Ks of his own. Wade Davis of Houston and Aroldis Chapman of
Jersey had a league high 41 saves but Davis was a perfect 41 for 41 on the year.
The following teams
contributed manager profiles for the sim: West Orange, Smith Mills, Stone
Mountain, Lincoln, Jersey, Glenview, Emerald City, Gotham, Springfield, Philadelphia,
Capital City, Los Angeles, San Antonio, Colorado, Mad City, Fort Wayne, Rock River,
Newark and
Houston. Toronto, Beartooth, Carolina, Hayward and
Protect
had their manager profiles computer generated.
Here is the
direct
link for the sim results. The
final simulation DB
is
located here for anyone who wants to download it.
Jump to:
AL East |
AL West |
NL East |
NL West
|
|
Team ERA |
2.95 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.271-.331-.449 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Crisp |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Cespedes |
. |
. |
. |
Cruz |
. |
Pence |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Saunders |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Desmond |
Cano |
. |
. |
. |
Herrera |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Zimmerman |
Frazier |
. |
Belt |
Chapman |
Wainwright |
. |
. |
Ortiz |
Uehara |
G. Gonzalez |
. |
. |
. |
Miller |
Tilman |
a |
Perez |
. |
Giles |
Porcello |
a |
Martinez |
a |
Machi |
Carroll |
. |
. |
. |
Melancon |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Have just one batter on
the farm and a handful of starter hopefuls. The
farm could have been better had some GM's not stolen my
draft list (aaaHedges, aaaSeverino, aaaJudge and
aaaOlson) were guys taken within a pick or two of my
slot |
Strengths: |
Balance would be my best
descriptor as we have speed, power, defense and an
arsenal of arms. The pen is solid with 107 real
life saves and a 124-88 W-L record combined.
|
Weaknesses:
|
Some starters worry me,
especially the RH batters in my park. Desmond
simmed to an average of about .230 and Pence struggled
as well at times. Team is getting older as well so
the window to win is starting to close. |
GM Thoughts: |
Overall this is the best
team I have ever had in the TBBL and honestly anything
short of a title would be a disappointment for me.
I gave up a ton of young talent for the group of guy on
this roster and we will surely pay for that in a couple
of years so it's win at all costs in 2015!
|
Prediction:
|
1st Place -- We have some concerns about
Houston and Toronto but at the end of the day the East
in Jersey's to lose. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Damage finished 1st in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.23 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.249-.314-.374 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Gardner |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Davis |
. |
. |
. |
Granderson |
. |
Heyward |
. |
z |
Tavares |
. |
Aoki |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Hardy |
A. Hill |
. |
. |
Semien |
Semien |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Kluber |
Dominguez |
. |
Teixeira |
House |
Cashner |
Freese |
. |
LaRoche |
Rondon |
Miller |
. |
. |
. |
Chamberlain |
Nova |
a |
Stassi |
. |
Storen |
Peavy |
a |
Suzuki |
a |
Duke |
Peralta |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
We
first wanted to acknowledge the terrible tragedy of the
passing of Oscar Taveras. We can’t even imagine how
difficult it must be for his family, friends, teammates,
etc. to accept such a loss. My condolences certainly go
out to them. After a pretty successful run over
several years, the Los Angeles Halos seem to get old
over night after the 2013 season. Therefore, 2014 began
the rebuilding process whereby instead of trading off
the farm hands for established talent, the team began to
accumulate young talent for a depleted farm system. This
season several farm hands from 2014 will get their first
cup of coffee with the big club: (1) Fire-baller,
Michael Foltynewicz, should get some time in September
with a target of 2016 to start helping the club probably
initially out of the pen; (2) Alex Guerrero could at
least be a meaningful bat off the bench in 2016; (3)
Rymer Liriano could get some Abs this year off the
bench, mostly as a defensive replacement and the club is
hoping he could be in RF in 2016. Prior
year’s holdovers on the farm are: (1) Jorge Alfero one
of the top catching prospects, still several years away
as a catcher but his bat could help the big league club
as early as 2016; (2) another highly rated catcher, Gary
Sanchez, is in pretty much the same situation as Alfero;
(3) Hunter Dozier has made the move to 3b and could be
competing for starting 3B in 2016; and (4) Austin
Meadows might be one of the most exciting young players
on the farm. He is still 2-3 years away but has the
potential to be a middle of the lineup corner OF.
The 2015 draft focused on a SS of the future and the
club feels very excited about the young talent that was
drafted. Trea Turner might be the closest to the big
club with an expected 2016 arrival. Though he might
never be a star, he certainly has a high floor. The
other 3 SS drafted; Willy Adames, Jorge Mateo and
Ozhaino Albies are all 3-4 years away but all have very
high ceilings. Also drafted was Rob Refsnyder a high
floor 2B who should contribute in 2016 at least as a
utility player and competing for starting 2B in 2017.
With their last couple of picks the club grabbed two
high ceiling starting pitchers: Kyle Freeland, a very
intelligent LH and Erick Fedde whose value dropped after
TJ surgery but when healthy should become a highly
ranked pitcher. |
Strengths: |
For
possibly the first time in the franchise’s history the
strength of the club might be young arms. We aren’t
saying they are the most talented arms, but after years
of cobbling together a rotation of veteran arms the
rotation now is on the right side of 30. The ace of the
staff is Corey Kluber (29) and he is joined by Tyson
Ross (28), Andrew Cashner (28), Wily Peralta (26) and
Shelby Miller (24). They still have Jake Peavy the
veteran of the staff for now, but if the club falls out
of the race could be sent packing to a contender. Peavy
is also the only remaining member of the 2013 starting
rotation. 2015 will also see a new and
hopefully more effective bullpen as this year they have
a legitimate closer in Hector Rondon. He will be
supported by Drew Storen, Zach Putnam and the return of
Joba Chamberlain all from the right side. On the left
side is Zach Duke, Jerry Blevins and TJ House. For
the second year in a row, the club will not have its
trade mark power so they will rely very heavily on their
pitching staff. |
Weaknesses:
|
At
least we shortened the list from last year which was :
“not enough pop, major questions in the rotation, no
true closer to name a few”. As mentioned, the club feels
big improvements were made to the pitching but
unfortunately not much changed with the offense. Pretty
much the same names as last year and the results could
be pretty similar to the 2014 version that hit only 114
homeruns (11th in the AL). |
GM Thoughts: |
Last year’s GM Thoughts were:
For
the first time, the Halos aren’t heading into a season
with championship expectations but rather the hope of
playing “.500-ball” and somehow stealing a final wild
card spot.
This
ended up being extremely accurate as the club finished
82-80 which left them in a tie for the final wildcard
spot. Literally, they then stole the final wild card
spot by beating Philly 3-2 in the 163 game of the
season. 2016 could be the identical situation as the
club hopes to hang around .500 and sneak into the
playoffs. Despite the rebuild, the club has a string of
never playing under-.500 (11 seasons) and 10 straight
playoff appearances which they would like to extend. |
Prediction:
|
4th Place -- Very difficult division and LA
might wind up on the outside looking in for the first
time since Aaron "Bleeping" Boone's knee injury led to
the trade of AROID! |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Halos finished
4th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.13 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.260-.323-.423 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Gomez |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Upton |
. |
Cuddyler |
. |
z |
Cabrera |
. |
Souza |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Segura |
Callaspo |
. |
. |
Negron |
Negron |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Hernandez |
Seager |
. |
Mauer |
Farquhar |
Lewis |
Machado |
. |
. |
Herrera |
Hughes |
. |
. |
. |
Davis |
Burnett |
a |
Ross |
. |
Sipp |
Fister |
a |
Gomes |
a |
Barrett |
Gausmann |
. |
. |
. |
Neshek |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
In an
attempt to address a weak rotation, a large number of
pitchers have been drafted: Appel, Beede, Harvey and
Manaea all have the potential 2/3 starters. Although
not a aaa player, Steven Souza may provide productive
numbers this year for the Rays. |
Strengths: |
Starts with
one of the top talents in the minor leagues in Byron Buxton.
|
Weaknesses:
|
After
Buxton, there is almost nothing in the position player
pipeline. There is a middling prospect in Derek Fischer
and a couple of very far away fliers in Daz Cameron and
Adrian Rondon, but even if those do work out, they are
years away from relevance. |
GM Thoughts: |
The
team is still competitive. It is tempting to cash in a
player or two on the farm (Buxton) or who I am waiting
on to reach his potential (Machado), but I'm hoping that
patience will reward me with a bigger window of
competitiveness down the road. My current rotation is
still weak, but I've tried to offset that this year by
having a deep bullpen that I can turn to. |
Prediction:
|
3rd Place -- Good
chance of a playoff berth, but not enough starting
pitching to go far (again). |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Oil Barons finished
2nd in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.20 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.256-.326-.405 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Lagares |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Amarista |
. |
. |
. |
Gordon |
. |
Soler |
. |
z |
Ackley |
. |
Moya |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
H. Ramirez |
Schoop |
. |
. |
Tejeda |
Amarista |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Archer |
Rendon |
. |
Rizzo |
Graveman |
Stults |
Cuddyer |
. |
Goldschmidt |
Workman |
Volquez |
. |
. |
. |
Ramirez |
Morales |
a |
Ianetta |
. |
. |
Hand |
a |
Susac |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Loads of players down on the farm. Capitals are in year
number two of taking over and franchise and attempting a
completely over haul. With that being said, most of the
focus is been down on the farm. We carried over three
aaa players that we are hoping will get called up this
season with hopefully making an impact in two years.
Blake Swihart, Carlos Rodon and Francisco Lindor are in
their second seasons with the Capitals. We are counting
on them heavily in the future. In addition, we drafted
7 more aaa players including Arizona Diamondback signee
Yasmany Tomas. We are hopeful that longer range
Outfield prospects Nomar Mazara and Micheal Conforto
continue to hit well as they move up the ladder. Also,
we are hoping that Kyle Kubitza, Jake Thompson and Tom
Murphy get the call to the big leagues sometime in 2015.
In the longer range category, Kyle Funkhouser should
have a terrific Junior season in college and get drafted
in the top ten next June. |
Strengths: |
Team strength clearly lies up a the plate and not on the mound!
Veterans Paul Goldschmidt, Anthony Rizzo, Hanley Ramirez,
Anthony Rendon and Alex Gordon provide the offensive punch.
Juan Lagares is an outstanding defensive player in Centerfield.
Just like on the farm, the Capitals have acquired many young
players in our push for the future. We are counting on Dilson
Herrera, Steven Moya, Ryan Rua, Carlos Sanchez, Andrew Susac,
Jorge Planco and Jonathan Schoop to take steps forward in their
careers this year. |
Weaknesses:
|
Pitching, pitching, pitching. As in, there isn't any!
Capitals will be sending Chris Archer and Edison Volquez
out there for their regular turns but it's going to be a
grab bag after that. We have some long bullpen guys
like Brad Hand, Erasmo Ramirez and Brandon Workman that
can provide some relief. Pitching is a major weakness. |
GM Thoughts: |
Again, Capitals are trying to overhaul the franchise and
become competitive next season and beyond. It's going
to a long season but we are hopeful that many of our
young players will continue their career arc in the
right direction for 2015! |
Prediction:
|
5th
place.
Improvement on last season's 44 win disaster. Hoping
for 60-65 win range this season, with a move to
competitive by next season! |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Capitals finished
5th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.15 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.261-.333-.422 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
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. |
Pollock |
. |
. |
. |
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Yelich |
. |
Werth |
. |
z |
Dunn |
. |
Beltran |
a |
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. |
. |
a |
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. |
. |
a |
. |
Castro |
Beckham |
. |
. |
Harrison |
Schoop |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Grienke |
Donaldson |
. |
Alvarez |
Britton |
Fernandez |
Harrison |
. |
Vargas |
Broxton |
Darvish |
. |
. |
. |
Perkins |
Sale |
a |
Martin |
. |
Brothers |
Minor |
a |
Navarro |
a |
Janssen |
Simon |
. |
. |
. |
Gregerson |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide
comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. Toronto is coming off a great year in 2014 and have the
arms to do it again this year. Their offense could
use a little boost and Tony has proven he isn't afraid
to pull the trigger on a deal. A 100 win season is
certainly the goal. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Crown Royals finished
3rd in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.38 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.248-.310-.393 |
. |
. |
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. |
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. |
Fowler |
. |
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Betts |
. |
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Ludwick |
. |
Calhoun |
. |
z |
Pederson |
. |
Taylor |
a |
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. |
. |
a |
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. |
. |
a |
. |
Bogaerts |
Odor |
. |
. |
Owings |
Betts |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Danks |
Francisco |
. |
Davis |
T. Walker |
Jackson |
Bogaerts |
. |
Rosario |
Morrow |
Cole |
. |
. |
. |
Alberquerque |
Cosart |
a |
D'Arnaud |
. |
Butler |
Erlin |
a |
Rosario |
a |
Walden |
Capuano |
. |
. |
. |
Cook |
. |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
On the farm?? My entire team! |
Strengths: |
Youth, potential, and hmm, did I mention youth? |
Weaknesses:
|
Everything else |
GM Thoughts: |
It's Year 2 of the Isotopes and we're
just happy to be here. Hoping that a few of the
prospects (Correa, C.Seager, Winker, the Zimmer
brothers) join Joc, Bogaerts, and Mookie in the show
sooner rather than later. |
Prediction:
|
6th
place.
With a league low 21.5 WAR (league-record
low??), it looks to be a long year for the Isotopes.
|
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Isotopes finished 6th in the AL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.82 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.237-.301-.384 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Marisnick |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Stubbs |
. |
. |
. |
Moss |
. |
C. Gonzalez |
. |
z |
Morse |
. |
. |
a |
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. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Cozart |
Bonifacio |
. |
. |
Baez |
Forsythe |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Noesi |
Asche |
. |
Reynolds |
Matzek |
C. Young |
Santana |
. |
. |
Allen |
Bailey |
. |
. |
. |
Fien |
Arroyo |
a |
Flowers |
. |
Brach |
Lincecum |
a |
Grandal |
a |
Choate |
Anderson |
. |
. |
. |
Corcino |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide
comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. Team might struggle in the AL Pittner
in 2015 but the GM has a track record of building
quality teams. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Nighthawks finished
6th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Gotham
CityHawks |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Chris Longo |
2014 Record |
50-112 (6th
place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.54 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.253-.308-.389 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
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. |
. |
Bourjos |
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Pompey |
. |
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. |
D. Brown |
. |
Polanco |
. |
z |
Viciedo |
. |
Arcia |
a |
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a |
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. |
. |
a |
. |
Escobar |
Gordon |
. |
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Gregorious |
Rutledge |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Tanaka |
Arenado |
. |
Butler |
Petricka |
Wheeler |
. |
. |
Pujols |
Boxberger |
Chen |
. |
. |
. |
Hatcher |
Norris |
a |
Norris |
. |
Axford |
Latos |
a |
Pinto |
a |
Ramirez |
Gibson |
. |
. |
. |
Anderson |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Not nearly as high profile of a
farm system as in previous years, Gotham still has
depth, but took their approach to off disk players a
little bit differently this year. Other than taking a
flyer on Kang in the 4th round, we stayed
away from taking off disk prospects early. Instead we
took a few shots at backend top 100ish prospects, even
one that is probably not in anyone’s top 150 in Courtney
Hawkins. Also grabbed Dansby Swanson, whom we like a
lot, if he can step into SS this season Vandy and handle
the position as I think he can, maybe he becomes a top 5
pick this year’s Rule 4 draft. That said, as with any
prospect, there is always a bunch of ‘hope’, ‘maybe’,
‘ifs/buts’, it’s all a crapshoot really. That, coupled
with the fact that we had the highest percentage of top
100 prospects protected coming into the draft as we have
had in the previous 4 years, it seemed like the year to
wait a bit. |
Strengths: |
Rotation and MI depth. Given the
rate pitchers get hurt, I wanted to have 8 or 9 guys I
could possibly use at all times. I feel like I am just
about there. The hope is that Gotham’s MI depth will
continue to evolve and that we get enough success from
the position(s) to have potential trade chips to move
for the OF we need. Youth is also a strength. Other than
Pujols and Axford, the entire roster is under 30, most
quite a bit younger. If they take another step forward
collectively, Gotham may be able to put together a
number of competitive years in a row. |
Weaknesses:
|
If I had to pick an area of
weakness for the team, it would be power, followed by
OBP – I believe we are well below league average in
both. If I had to pick a position that could use some
improvement, it would be the OF, at least right now.
They are young, there is promise, but right now there
are no results. Even if the young guys start to pan out
a bit, as mentioned earlier, Gotham will be looking to
add another OF bat. |
GM Thoughts: |
Being the realist that I am, what I
have today is a .500 team. However, after a number of
years of rebuilding, it’s time to start turning this
squad into a more competitive team and continue to add
pieces as I go. For example, this is the first year I
attempted to assemble a proper bullpen instead of late
round inning vacuums and hopeful starters for next
season. I also dealt Paul Goldschmidt to bring in what I
hope will be my cornerstone at 3rd base for
the next decade. It’s never easy to let a player like
him go (he was the first pick I made in TBBL) but
because he is 1B only, it’s a spot much easier to fill,
even I need to do it with different pieces. Things are
starting to take shape in the middle infield, in which I
now feel I have a few guys I can mix-n-match over the
next few years and get decent results. All things
considered, how my outfield pans out over the next
couple years will dictate if I remain a .500 team, or
take the next step to be a contender. In Polanco, Arcia
and Pompey I have strong potential, but will they
realize it? The odds of me hitting on all three are
slim, but they don’t all need to become stars in order
for this franchise to turn the corner. I am hoping for
top 45-50 outfielders coming into the 2016 TBBL season,
with the hopes that one of them is on their way to top
25 status from there, anything more than that would be a
huge bonus. I will also need to make a move for an
outfielder eventually, preferably a middle of the order
type, as another way to narrow the gap. I am pleased
with the depth of starting pitching we have acquired,
though I worry about Tanaka. He was destined to be the
ace of the staff, but now I don’t know what happens with
him. I love for Hutchison to make a big leap for the
2016 TBBL season, and have my fingers crossed that Brett
Anderson does as well. So many freakish injuries, but he
is still only 26, and hasn’t lost his effectiveness when
healthy. The catching situation is not all that
different than the one in my outfield; I have a
collection of players I like, but the jury remains out
as to how effective they will be. Of the group, I think
Realmuto will become the lead dog eventually, but
whether or not that is 2016, or 2017 remains to be seen.
I am not looking for a ton of production out of the
position, just a steady hand that can get me 400 at-bats
a year for at least the next 5 years or so. |
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. Predictions? Painnnnnnn… Man I do
love me some Clubber Lang, even 30 years later. This is
a .500 team, give or take 5 games in either direction.
My biggest surprise will be Kyle Gibson. He will be
either my 1st or 2nd best starter,
even though from a name and 2014 MLB result perspective,
he was probably at the bottom. It’s also too bad Arcia
has somewhat limited at-bats, because over the course of
a full season, even if played against just RHP, I think
Gotham could squeeze 35-40 bombs out of him.
TBBL: This is one of my sleeper teams for 2015 |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
CityHawks finished
2nd in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.19 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.259-.329-.383 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Hicks |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Pagan |
. |
. |
. |
Holliday |
. |
Young |
. |
z |
Joyce |
. |
Gose |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Rollins |
Escobar |
. |
. |
Kawasaki |
Paredes |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Lester |
Holt |
. |
Parmalee |
Rodney |
Weaver |
Valbuena |
. |
Valbeuna |
Crow |
Kuechel |
. |
. |
. |
Finnegan |
Roark |
a |
Maldanado |
. |
Soriano |
Gonzalez |
a |
Jaso |
a |
Smith |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Torres |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Rats are pretty weak on the farm with one
aaa player in Ramsey. We needed to fill out the roster
in the this draft to have enough PT to make it through
the season. We have some young players in Avasail
Garcia, Edwin Escobar, Jimmy Paredes, Anthony Gose,
Brandon Finnegan, Eury Perez, Aaron Hicks and Paco
Rodriguez who are at points of make or break in their
careers and could determine the future strength of the
team. If things look bad early, we could be looking to
stock up on youngsters early in the season. |
Strengths: |
Starting pitching seems to be the strength with Lester, Weaver,
Roark, Keuchel, and Miguel Gonzalez. The team will have a chance
to do as well as the starters allow. |
Weaknesses:
|
Power is fairly weak the bullpen is
fairly suspect. Many Rps have bad splits and that could
really hurt us in computer played games. |
GM Thoughts: |
If we can get some decent Relief pitching
and if we are able to balance out our situational
players, we could be in the playoff hunt till the very
end. Expectations are for over .500 but that might not
be good enough. Drafting error in taking the wrong F.
Rodriguez really hurt as we could have really used his
help in the pen. |
Prediction:
|
5th
place.
5 to 10 games over .500 and maybe barely
grabbing the last playoff spot. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Rats finished
4th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.34 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.272-.336-.443 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Bautista |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Peralta |
. |
. |
. |
Crawford |
. |
Stanton |
. |
z |
Peralta |
. |
Nieuwenhuis |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Reyes |
Walker |
. |
. |
Nunez |
Baker |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Price |
Wright |
. |
Gonzalez |
Benoit |
Wacha |
Nunez |
. |
Duda |
Papelbon |
Lohse |
. |
. |
. |
Cotts |
Haren |
a |
Posey |
. |
Robertson |
Garza |
a |
Ramos |
a |
Baez |
Tepesch |
. |
. |
. |
Tazawa |
Niese |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Farm is improving, but
still not a strength. Bell and Piscotty should be
helpful soon. Feliz, Matuella and Fulmer should be
power arms when they can make it to the show. Jones is
a lottery ticket. |
Strengths: |
The hitting should
be better than last year. Duda is back on track and
both he and Peralta should be part of tough platoons.
Posey is solid and has a great PF to help him. This
team should hit a lot of homers especially on the road
while we don’t give up many at home. |
Weaknesses:
|
Our infield defense
should be down from last year. I don’t know what the
DMB people were thinking to give so many Pr and Fr
ratings to relievers. Our SPs should be good enough to
get us one of the top two seeds in the AL bracket. I am
not sure we can match aces with the best teams in the
playoffs, though. |
GM Thoughts: |
I love the league and the work that Rob pours into it
makes it a ton of fun. The other owners are sharp and
fun to match wits against. As to our team: On paper we
should have a great year, with 100+ wins and maybe match
last year’s total. |
Prediction:
|
1st
place.
I have always looked
at the playoffs as a crap shoot where the best team on
paper doesn’t always win the series. That is what makes
it fun. I am not sure we can make it to the Series
again, but if we can get there, our chances look good. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Saints finished 1st in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.59 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.259-.315-.387 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Bourn |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jay |
. |
. |
. |
Trumbo |
. |
Reddick |
. |
z |
Swisher |
. |
Grossman |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Cabrera |
Murphy |
. |
. |
Ramirez |
Valencia |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Strasburg |
Ramirez |
. |
Swisher |
Worley |
Dickey |
Valencia |
. |
Campbell |
Feliz |
Shoemaker |
. |
. |
. |
Deduno |
Masterson |
a |
Rivera |
. |
Kahne |
Beckett |
a |
McHenry |
a |
Mendez |
Stroman |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The
Smackdown have a strong farm system that will hopefully
lead the team to greatness in a few years (because
greatness is certainly not happening this year).
Depending on whose ranking you’re looking at, the
Smackdown have the top position prospect (Kris Bryant,
#1 in Baseball America’s top 100) and top pitching
prospect (Lucas Giolito, #7 in BA’s top 100). The team
has a handful of other guys on the prognosticator’s
lists, including Raul Mondesi, Kyle Schwarber, Hunter
Renfroe, Reynaldo Lopez, and Rafael Devers. Aside from
Bryant and potentially Renfroe and Schwarber seeing some
ABs in the majors in 2015, most are a few years away
from contributing to the Smackdown. The team is also
still waiting for helpful contributions from former #1
prospect Jurickson Profar, who missed all of last year
and will most or all of the 2015 MLB season after it was
announced he was finally going to have surgery. Two
years of inactivity will be tough to come back from, but
he’s still young so hopefully not a lost cause. |
Strengths: |
I
guess it would be the starting pitching, although with
offense down across the board, a lot of starting
pitching might look good. The Smackdown have Stephen
Strasburg heading the rotation and will get quality
innings and around 20-25 starts from Marcus Stroman,
Matt Shoemaker, and Josh Beckett. R.A. Dickey will be a
workhorse and Vance Worley and Sam Deduno will make some
spot starts. A lot of those guys also spent time in the
pen and the Smackdown’s group of outright relievers
didn’t throw many innings last year, so it won’t just be
bats that will be swinging in 2015. It’s hard to find
other strengths, but if one squints hard enough, the duo
of Rene Rivera and Michael McKenry picked up in the
draft should combine for strong production from the
catcher position. |
Weaknesses:
|
The
position players don’t offer much from an offensive or
defensive perspective. This will probably be one of the
lowest scoring teams in the league. Marlon Byrd might
be the only player that ends up with more than 20
homers. The right side of the infield with first base
manned by either Mark Trumbo or Nick Swisher (ouch, that
was painful to type) and second base with Daniel Murphy
will be especially porous. Alexi Ramirez at shortstop
is the only plus defender in the infield so he’ll be
demanding a trade by May. |
GM Thoughts: |
In
what might be one of a few bridge years this is likely a
team that could struggle to crack the 70 win mark,
although if a few guys could outperform expectations on
offense and in the bullpen and with a good record in
close games, maybe the team can get close to .500 and
battle for the last playoff spot. But that’s highly
unlikely. |
Prediction:
|
4th
place. 71-91, to tie the 2008 edition of the Smackdown for
worst record in franchise history. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Smackdown finished
3rd in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA3.72 |
3.39 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.250-.321-.380 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Blanco |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Ethier |
. |
. |
. |
Marte |
. |
Puig |
. |
z |
Smith |
. |
Victorino |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Zobrist |
Sogard |
. |
. |
Pennington |
Espinosa |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Iwakuma |
Uribe |
. |
Sanchez |
Petit |
De La Rosa |
Franco |
. |
C. Davis |
Wada |
Lackey |
. |
. |
. |
O'Day |
E. Santana |
a |
Montero |
. |
Mujica |
Hernandez |
a |
Nieto |
a |
German |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Once we got done picking confetti out of our hair, the
TBBL champion Colorado Gladiators looked and saw an
aging roster and got to work adding some good young
talent in the draft. The farm is strong after adding
future “next Darvish” type talent in
SP -
Shohei Otani, CF’s – Manny Margot and Albert Almora, and
addressing the future at 3B with Maikel Franco and Jacob
Lamb. Cuban sleepers RP- Raisel Iglesias, and IF- Hector Olivera are ones to watch in 2015 as well.
|
Strengths: |
The strength of this club, like last year is pitching
and defense, especially a very strong bullpen to do
battle in Coors Field. |
Weaknesses:
|
Unfortunately …
the
offensive cornerstones from last year weren’t quite as
good this year, as Chris Davis, Yasiel Puig and others
had off-seasons. We will have to piece together offense
this year, but we will be fine.
|
GM Thoughts: |
As much fun as winning was last year, it might be tough
to repeat. It will be a fun year to watch prospects
progress (or regress though, and we will give it our
best shot! “You play, to win, the game, HELLO?” |
Prediction:
|
2nd place.
The Gladiators will likely be in a battle for a playoff
spot ‘til the very end, and if we get in . . . you never
know
:) TBBL: Don't let Casey lull you to
sleep, he will be a contender again |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Gladiators finished
4th in the AL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
4.23 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.237-.301-.364 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Fuld |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Dyson |
. |
. |
. |
Nava |
. |
Jones |
. |
z |
Sizemore |
. |
Murphy |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Villar |
Solarte |
. |
. |
Barney |
Barney |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Pineda |
Plouffe |
. |
Jones |
Grilli |
A.
Wood |
Alonso |
. |
Aolonso |
LeCure |
Buchanan |
. |
. |
. |
Lopez |
Correjia |
a |
Arencibia |
. |
Lyons |
T. Wood |
a |
Phegley |
a |
Morris |
Williams |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. 2015 probably not a year to remember
for Carolina. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Sandlappers finished
6th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.39 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.262-.316-.392 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Venable |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Martin |
. |
. |
. |
Chavez |
. |
Hamilton |
. |
z |
Suzuki |
. |
Venable |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Simmons |
Kendrick |
. |
. |
. |
Pena |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
McHugh |
Prado |
. |
McCann |
Cishek |
CJ Wilson |
Gosselin |
. |
La Stella |
Smyly |
Fiers |
. |
. |
. |
Perez |
Liriano |
a |
Gattis |
. |
Morin |
Morton |
a |
Bethancourt |
a |
Matusz |
Teheran |
. |
. |
. |
Perez |
Sabathia |
a |
. |
a |
Delgado |
|
On the
Farm: |
Hoping a few of these
players can make a cannonball, or at least at jackknife
splash in the MLB during 2015: Jose Berrios, Delino
DeShields Jr, CJ Edwards, Max Fried, Alex Myer, Jose
Peraza, DJ Peterson, Rio Ruiz, Lucas Simms, AJ Griffin,
Brandon Beachy |
Strengths: |
The club had to retool
both the starting staff and relief corps via the draft.
The hope is that both the SP and RP are an upgrade from
last year. It looks better on paper, but that does not
always translate. Team has some balance at the plate
with boppers Jose Abreu and Evan Gattis and table
setters like Leonys Martin, Martin Prado, Chris Coghlan,
and Howie Kendrick. Defense up the middle looks solid
with Andrelton Simmons, Kendrick and Martin. |
Weaknesses:
|
Team has very little depth
on offense and the same can be said about the bullpen.
Rotation lacks a 30 start dominant pitcher. OBP is a
bit weak and a couple everyday players have a high
tendency to hit into rally killing double plays. Offense
has some weakness at the bottom of the lineup. |
GM Thoughts: |
Prior to the draft and due
to having considerable depth at C the team, with
reluctance, traded away Travis d’Arnaud for CJ Wilson
and a draft pick that garnered Jose Peraza. The team was
hoping to use the draft to gather some SP depth, a
couple of minor league position players and some AB’s in
the OF. Those missions were accomplished and the success
of this team will rely on the pitching staff. Not much
emphasis was placed on strengthening the offense as the
theory of “a team can never have enough pitching” was
employed. |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place.
While the pitching might be decent, the
offense will probably have a difficult time scoring runs
on a consistent basis. Therefore, a realistic goal is
to aim for .500 |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Confederates finished
2nd in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Glenview Flyers |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
John Lapham |
2014 Record |
98-64 (1st
place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.67 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.249-.315-.389 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jones |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Bradley |
. |
. |
. |
Dickerson |
. |
Snider |
. |
z |
Tabata |
. |
Tabata |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Lowrie |
Kipinis |
. |
. |
Avilles |
Rosales |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
McCarthy |
Headley |
. |
Votto |
Greene |
Miley |
Cecchini |
. |
Howard |
Medina |
Odorizzi |
. |
. |
. |
Floyd |
Chavez |
a |
Castro |
. |
Varvaro |
Milone |
a |
Corporan |
a |
Hardy |
Ramos |
. |
. |
. |
Holland |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Upper
levels were depleted via trades and promotions. Tim
Anderson, ss, and Chi Chi Gonzalez, sp, are solid
prospects in the middle levels. Lower levels are
stocked with some exciting young talent, like Francisco
Mejia, Raimel Tapia, Tyler Kolek, Gleyber Torres, and
Bobby Bradley, but they are all a very long way from
helping the major league club. |
Strengths: |
Adam
Jones remains a consistent contributor in center field,
Corey Dickerson emerged as a powerful bat in the middle
of the lineup, and Jake Odorizzi found a new pitch that
might make him a solid mid-rotation starter. |
Weaknesses:
|
Catcher (Jason Castro) and shortstop (Jed Lowrie) remain
the biggest weaknesses on the club, but injuries
weakened areas of relative strength as well. Derek
Holland and Joey Votto missed most of the year with
injuries, while Jason Kipnis played hurt for most of the
season. |
GM Thoughts: |
After years of rebuilding,
the club finally won the division last year but lost a
tough seven-game series to the Eagles in the
second-round of the playoffs. This will be a down year
due to injuries, but the draft produced some interesting
prospects that provide hope for the future. In the
meantime, if Votto, Kipnis, and Holland can bounce back
from injuries, a return to the playoffs is possible in
2016
|
Prediction:
|
4th
place. The optimist in me (John) will predict a 3rd-place
finish in the division, but the pessimist fears that the
Flyers will struggle to stay out of the cellar. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Flyers finished
5th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Newark Eagles |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Mike
Witkowski |
2014 Record |
89-73 (2nd
place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.43 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.261-.320-.420 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Hamilton |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Encarnacion |
. |
Braun |
. |
z |
K. Davis |
. |
Walters |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Mercer |
Kinsler |
. |
. |
Tulowitzki |
Utley |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Shields |
Castellanos |
. |
Freeman |
Kimbrel |
Sanchez |
Gyorko |
. |
Hosmer |
Webster |
Moore |
. |
. |
. |
Carlyle |
Gallardo |
a |
Peirzynski |
. |
Holland |
Bucholz |
a |
Castillo |
a |
Pomeranz |
Carrasco |
. |
. |
. |
Matsuzaka |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
1st
place. We keep picking the Eagles and they keep finishing at
or near the top. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Eagles finished
1st in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.49 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.252-.326-.375 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jennings |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Denorfia |
. |
. |
. |
Willingham |
. |
DeJesus |
. |
z |
Ishikawa |
. |
Hunter |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Escobar |
Beckham |
. |
. |
Turner |
Perez |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Gray |
Carpenter |
. |
Pearce |
Skaggs |
Harang |
Chisenhall |
. |
Ishikawa |
Hunter |
Lynn |
. |
. |
. |
Maness |
Arrieta |
a |
Ruiz |
. |
Russell |
Collmenter |
a |
Ellis |
a |
Kelley |
Vargas |
. |
. |
. |
Fields |
|
On the
Farm: |
Mammoths don't really have much on the farm as we pretty
much need all of our slots for playing time. We have 2
or 3 young guys (C. Colon, H. Perez & Y. Rodriguez) who
might develop into useful players. One of our goals this
year is to identify some future players that can help us
down the line. |
Strengths: |
Our biggest
strength is probably our starting pitching; Sonny Gray looks
like the real deal and Jake Arrieta may have turned the corner.
Lance Lynn is solid if somewhat inconsistent, and we also have
players like Jason Vargas and Josh Collmenter who should be
serviceable at the least. Position players are another story;
the only real bright spot is Matt Carpenter who is a solid third
baseman and good leadoff man. |
Weaknesses:
|
Unfortunately the
rest of the position players are either old (Torii Hunter/Carlos Ruiz)
or seem to be regressing (Yunel Escobar/Desmond Jennings). Everyone else
is basically just filling a spot until we can find someone better.
Obviously one of our main goals is to find and develop some younger
players. |
GM Thoughts: |
As I
said, another rebuilding year for the Mammoths. We
definitely must find some younger/better players;
management will be paying more attention to MiLB this
season.
Our
pitching, if everything goes well, might get us near
.500 this season. More realistically something around 70
wins seems more likely. This is a tough, competitive
league and the Mammoths are likely to be closer to the
bottom than to the top. |
Prediction:
|
5th place.
The Mammoths have their ace of the future in Gray. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Mammoths finished
4th in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.50 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.267-.327-.403 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Cain |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Brantley |
. |
Blackmon |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Lucas |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Peralta |
Lawrie |
. |
. |
Lucas |
Dozier |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Kuroda |
Lawrie |
. |
Lucas |
Duffy |
Guthrie |
Gillaspie |
. |
Loney |
Betances |
Kendrick |
. |
. |
. |
Familia |
Kazmir |
a |
Avila |
. |
Rasmus |
Cobb |
a |
Chirinos |
a |
Colome |
Gee |
. |
. |
. |
Kelly |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Still strong with Plawecki and
Cole leading the way. 17-year-old CFer of the future –
we hope – Cespedes had a so-so start to his pro career
but he’s still a baby. Giving up Seager to get Betances
hurt but the hope is Met farmhand Rosario will
eventually fill that infield hole. Hoping another Met –
Molina – and a Cardinal (Kaminsky) will be part of the
rotation in the future. |
Strengths: |
If we can get a lead heading into the
7th we’ll be fine. All roads lead to Betances at the
back end of the bullpen and those roads look pretty good with
Bastardo, Rasmus, Familia, Watson and Atchison. The front four
starters look strong as well with Duffy, Cobb, Kazmir and
Kuroda. |
Weaknesses:
|
We could
use a little more depth on the offensive side but we’ll manage |
GM Thoughts: |
We won’t be as bad as we were
in 2014. We really couldn’t be that bad again.
|
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. The Panthers
should return to the postseason. Whether we’re able to
extend our perfect 6-0 playoff series record vs. NL
teams is another story. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Panthers finished
3rd in the
NL East in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.31 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.275-.336-.422 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Trout |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Voght |
. |
Lough |
. |
z |
Eaton |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Romine |
Altuve |
. |
. |
Drew |
Romine |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Bumgarner |
Longoria |
. |
Morneua |
Reed |
Elias |
. |
. |
Moralez |
Crockett |
Scherzer |
. |
. |
. |
Jansen |
Despaigne |
a |
Lucroy |
. |
McGee |
Quintana |
a |
Cervelli |
a |
Edgin |
Hahn |
. |
. |
. |
Martinez |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
2nd
place. Team has high hopes after a Fall
Classic appearance in 2014. Bumgarner and Scherzer
are a pretty solid 1-2 October punch. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Paddlers finished
1st in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.79 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.260-.313-.373 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Revere |
. |
. |
. |
. |
De Aza |
. |
. |
. |
Morrison |
. |
Choo |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Craig |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Aybar |
Gennett |
. |
. |
Rodriguez |
Arias |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Buehrle |
Johnson |
. |
Napoli |
Stammen |
Feldman |
. |
. |
Morrison |
Thayer |
Locke |
. |
. |
. |
Affeldt |
Cain |
a |
Molina |
. |
Cecil |
Lyles |
a |
Pena |
a |
Casilla |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Carpenter |
. |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
The farm had to be rebuilt because we
traded all our prime prospects for players to get us to
the playoffs. The only guys with a shot at MLB this year
though are Derek Hill, and Cuban Dian Toscano I figure.
But some very young guys like Rodgers, Gomez, Kirby and
Varona look promising for a couple years down the road!
|
Strengths: |
If a few
guys can make MLB comebacks in 2015, 2016 looks pretty good. For
this season though, the Ravens only real strength will be some
speed and a solid bullpen (if we can get to it). The team has
very little power and a shaky starting rotation and at best an
average defense. I think we can be a thorn in a few sides but
contending is out of the question. |
Weaknesses:
|
Well, we took a shot last year and fell short.
Now it’s time to pay the piper. I saw we were going to
have a down year due to various injuries and off
seasons. |
GM Thoughts: |
My thoughts are that this will be a rough
season, with a lot more losses than wins. If I were to
predict a final record I’d say that optimistically, we
are looking at 70-92. Should be good for 5th or 6th in
our division and get us a prime pick in next years
draft. That’s right, the rebuild is on! |
Prediction:
|
6th
place. Looking for bounce back years from some
veterans has the Raven ownership thinking 2016. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Ravens finished
6th the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.63 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.239-.297-.356 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Jackson |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Upton |
. |
. |
. |
Ozuna |
. |
Kiermaier |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Ozuna |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Miller |
LeMahieu |
. |
. |
Taylor |
Dietrich |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Alvarez |
Sardinas |
. |
Overbay |
Leone |
Nelson |
LeMahieu |
. |
. |
Dunn |
Happ |
. |
. |
. |
Straily |
Bauer |
a |
Zunino |
. |
Barnes |
Ryu |
a |
Vazquez |
a |
Soria |
deGrom |
. |
. |
. |
Smith |
Paxton |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Bombers have a couple good prospects on the farm. Alex
Jackson is the highest thought of in the system, but,
lesser known prospect Patrick Kivlehan may be in Seattle
before Jackson. The youngsters who got their cups of
coffee last year show the most promise and excitement
for the club, and those are Carson Smith, Kyle Parker,
Domingo Santana, Chris Taylor, and Cam Bedrosian.
Several got a good look last year and the team's first
three picks this year landed some high end talent in
Jacob DeGrom, Kyle Hendricks and Kevin Kiermaier. The
GM is hoping those three, as well Dominic Leone and
Brandon Maurer will prove this draft to be very fruitful
for years to come. |
Strengths: |
Youth is how
we're going to spin it. Only a handful of this roster is above
the age of 27. The pitching is getting close to being a staff to
reckon with. And, with a couple bullpen additions this year, the
pitching should keep the team in ball games. The other strength
is the OF. Ozuna is looking like the offensive threat to help
lead this team for years to come. Kiermaier impressed in his
half year last year and if Austin Jackson turns around from a
poor second half, this will be a very good offensive and
defensive trio. |
Weaknesses:
|
It's still the
offense. There's only 2-3 real threats in this lineup at this point.
Still needing another 2-3 youngsters to become better and consistent
hitters for this team to begin to contend. |
GM Thoughts: |
Getting close. This complete rebuild that we started
three full years ago is starting to look closer to
actually coming together. |
Prediction:
|
5th
place. The
pitching staff will be in the top half of the league and
really keep this team in games 60-70% of the time. How
well the offense does will dictate whether this is a 70
win or a 60 win team. Going to go bold and predict 71
wins for this team, outpacing last years total by 24
wins. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Bombers finished 5th in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.34 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.252-.319-.404 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
McCutcheon |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Schafer |
. |
. |
. |
Harper |
. |
Bruce |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Choice |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Andrus |
Phillips |
. |
. |
Flores |
Wong |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
C. Lee |
Beltre |
. |
Fielder |
Cingrani |
Colon |
Flores |
. |
Carter |
Garcia |
Cueto |
. |
. |
. |
Huff |
Kennedy |
a |
Salty |
. |
Doolittle |
Leake |
a |
Mesoraco |
a |
Ottavino |
Hale |
. |
. |
. |
Rodriguez |
a |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide
comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide
comments |
Prediction:
|
3rd
place. Playoff contender every year and 2015
is no different. I am sure the Bitteroots are
tired of playing the Paddlers and Nuts though. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Bitteroots finished
3rd in the NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
Team ERA |
3.26 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.268-.324-.397 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Ellsbury |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Rios |
. |
. |
. |
Kemp |
. |
Markakis |
. |
z |
. |
. |
Rios |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Crawford |
Pedroia |
. |
. |
Hechevarria |
Infante |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Kershaw |
Zimmerman |
. |
Cabrera |
Tolleson |
Verlander |
. |
. |
Lind |
Diekman |
Harvey |
. |
. |
. |
Badenhop |
Hamels |
a |
Weiters |
. |
Heaney |
Eovaldi |
a |
Hanigan |
a |
Norris |
Samardzija |
. |
. |
. |
T. Hudson |
Ventura |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
Owner did not provide any
comments |
Strengths: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Weaknesses:
|
Owner did not provide any comments |
GM Thoughts: |
Owner did not provide any comments |
Prediction:
|
1st
place. Pitching, pitching and more pitching.
Scott always has a solid team and we usually pick him to
win the division so 2015 follows suit. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The
Protect Your Nuts team finished
4th in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
Team |
Fort Wayne Komets |
Team Report |
|
Owner |
Stan
Shawinski |
2014 Record |
66-96 (5th
place) |
|
Team ERA |
3.99 |
|
Team
Batting: |
.251-.310-.384 |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Span |
. |
. |
. |
. |
Lake |
. |
. |
. |
Parra |
. |
Myers |
. |
z |
Martinez |
. |
Franklin |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
. |
. |
. |
a |
. |
Cabrera |
Panik |
. |
. |
Gonzalez |
Young |
. |
Starters |
. |
. |
Pen |
Vogelsong |
Sandoval |
. |
Adams |
Rzepcyznski |
Nuno |
Santana |
. |
Smoak |
Rosenthal |
Hammel |
. |
. |
. |
Grimm |
Salazar |
a |
Santana |
. |
Siegrest |
Richards |
a |
Conger |
a |
Chatwood |
Turner |
. |
. |
. |
Santiago |
Warren |
a |
. |
a |
a |
|
On the
Farm: |
we've got an up and coming slugger Matt
Olsen, who maybe a corner
OF'er or a 1b man, the jury is still out. On the mend
from arm or shoulder problems last year are Kris Medlen,
Patrick Corbin and Kevin Siegrist, all hoping to return
to pre-injury form. Young middle inf'ers Matt Duffy and
Nick Franklin hope to have prominent roles with their
big league clubs while Roberto Perez hopes to prove he
is more than just a back-up catcher. |
Strengths: |
If there is one strength on the Komets
this year it might just be their bullpen Anchored by
Trevor Rosenthal closing the games the Komets will lean
on Adam Warren, Justin Grimm, Bryan Shaw and lefy
specialist Marc "SCRABBLE" Rzepczynski to bridge the gap
to the 9th. The offense will lean heavily on corner
inf'ers Matt Adams and Pablo Sandoval. |
Weaknesses:
|
Weaknesses??? Where to begin? In all
cases it comes down to a lack of depth all over the
roster. Several solid starters in Richards and Salazar,
but after that it's slim pickings. Middle infield will
the weakest link and at least for this year 2b. Panik is
the long-term solution but for this year will be
limited. |
GM Thoughts: |
HOPEFULLY many of the kids we
drafted/held over from last year will start to blossom.
Franklin, Panik, Myers and Alcantara have the potential
to become solid members for the future. But if they fall
off the face of the earth like Juinor Lake did last year
things will continue to be bleak. With Span and Sandoval
starting age a bit they maybe
moved during year if the kids fail. |
Prediction:
|
4th
place.
A 70 win season maybe a dream, but with
some luck, ie a little timely hitting and some pitching
might be possible. It's in the hands of the computer
Gods to see what kinda manger the Komets have. |
Simulated Finish:
|
The Komets finished
2nd in the
NL West in the February 28 simulation. Click
here for team stats.
|
|
|
|